Friday, November 10, 2006

BCS talk

Can you believe it!? Rutgers upsets Louisville. Of course, this ruins my theory about Notre Dame adding the Scarlet Knights, but what the heck! I’m a Texas fan, and this could open the door for my Longhorns.
I tell you what is strange though. No one seems to be giving Rutgers much chance of finishing the year unbeaten and making it into the BCS Championship game against the Michigan – Ohio State game. But what would happen if the boys from Piscatawy, NJ, won the rest of their games and finished 12-0? That would include a trip to Morgantown to face West Virginia, a team likely to go into that game with just one loss. It seems odd that the folks who were terrified of Louisville getting jumped by Texas or Florida or Auburn are willing to, apparently, put off the Scarlet Knights as an “also ran” in the title chase. Sure, they have a padded record with a bunch of pansy non-conference games, but who doesn’t? If Rutgers finishes unbeaten, they will have defeated two top 10 teams, a feat that few college teams will be able to match.
For all the Cinderella stories coming out of news outlets, the reality is Rutgers won’t win out. We’ll end up with three teams from the Big East with one loss, one of whom will get pounded as the rep in the BCS. Who that would be is beyond me – does anyone know the tiebreak rule in the Big East (does anyone care)
And again, we will have an undefeated team playing a one loss team for the national championship, and again we’ll have controversy. Assuming they win out, who deserves that shot? Florida, Texas, or the loser of the Michigan State/Ohio State game. My vote would go to the Gators – few teams can weather the storm that is the SEC, and given the BCS’s history with that conference (see Auburn’s snub in 2003) it would be tough to accept a UT rematch with Ohio State over Florida.
The fact is, Texas might slip into the game again based on he upcoming schedule for all these teams. The SEC will not send out a team with just one loss – Florida still has South Carolina on the schedule, while Auburn still must face Alabama and Arkansas, not to mention the SEC Championship game. Texas faces K-State and Texas A&M, a couple of highly regarded programs….back in 1999. A rematch with Nebraska looms large in the Big 12 title game – but this time around, Texas wouldn’t be facing a blizzard and the pressure packed Memorial Stadium Conrhumpers. I like the Horns chances better than Florida or Auburn.
Based on the information known to my little mind, I present my BCS bowl predictions….

Rose: USC vs. Michigan
Fiesta: Boise State vs. Notre Dame
Sugar: Auburn vs. Louisville
Orange: Georgia Tech vs. Florida
BCS Title: Ohio State vs. Texas

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